Boston College vs Northwestern 9/15/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Boston College winning 44% of simulations, and Northwestern 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Boston College commits fewer turnovers in 25% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Northwestern wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rolandan Finch is averaging 50 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. Kain Colter is averaging 81 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NW -4.5

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